QB • Atlanta Falcons

Michael Penix Jr.

QB 6' 3" 220 lbs 26 years old
ATL | AWAY @ TB Raymond James Stadium | Tampa, FL
WEEKLY AVG 16.9 pts 5 GAMES
STAT CRACKERWEEK #8PROJECTION 17.2 pts
TEAM ENVIRONMENT

Atlanta Falcons Overview

WEEK 8
QB Health / DepthAverage
WR Health / DepthStrong
Offensive Line StrengthAverage
RB Health / DepthElite
TE Health / DepthStrong
Defensive Line StrengthStrong

QB Health / Depth

Atlanta Falcons QB Health / Depth is rated Average. This public grade reflects starter stability, backup depth and current availability. QB1 Michael Penix Jr. has no current injury limitation recorded in Stat Cracker. QB2 Tua Tagovailoa has no current injury limitation recorded in Stat Cracker. QB3 Andy Dalton is listed Status Pending with Coach's Decision • PRIOR WEEK STATUS FROM WEEK 7 • Previous status: OUT • Current Week 8 designation is pending • Historical context only; this carried row does not hard-exclude the player. QB4 Jack Strand is listed Status Pending with Coach's Decision • PRIOR WEEK STATUS FROM WEEK 7 • Previous status: OUT • Current Week 8 designation is pending • Historical context only; this carried row does not hard-exclude the player.

WR Health / Depth

Atlanta Falcons WR Health / Depth is rated Strong. This public grade reflects the health and usable depth of the receiving group. WR1 Drake London has no current injury limitation recorded in Stat Cracker. WR2 Jahan Dotson has no current injury limitation recorded in Stat Cracker. WR3 Olamide Zaccheaus is listed Questionable with Shoulder. WR4 Zachariah Branch has no prior NFL experience listed in the current roster data.

Offensive Line Strength

Atlanta Falcons is rated Average. This public grade summarizes the current blocking environment for the offense, including protection quality and the ability to support a dependable rushing attack. An Average grade indicates a generally workable line environment without a clear weekly advantage.

RB Health / Depth

Atlanta Falcons RB Health / Depth is rated Elite. This public grade reflects the condition of the lead backs, the quality of the available depth chart and how much proven depth remains behind the starter. RB1 Bijan Robinson has no current injury limitation recorded in Stat Cracker. RB2 Brian Robinson is listed Questionable with Hamstring. RB3 Trey Sermon is listed IR with Undisclosed. RB depth Jam Miller currently carries a roster status of DEV.

TE Health / Depth

Atlanta Falcons TE Health / Depth is rated Strong. This public grade reflects current availability and usable depth at tight end. TE1 Kyle Pitts has no current injury limitation recorded in Stat Cracker. TE2 Charlie Woerner has no current injury limitation recorded in Stat Cracker. TE3 Austin Hooper has no current injury limitation recorded in Stat Cracker. TE4 Nick Muse has no current injury limitation recorded in Stat Cracker.

Defensive Line Strength

Atlanta Falcons is rated Strong. This public grade summarizes how well the defensive front is holding up against the run and creating pressure in the passing game. A Strong grade indicates the front is consistently supporting run defense and creating meaningful pressure.

Public team-context grades summarize the player's weekly environment without publishing Stat Cracker's private formula weights, raw inputs or model calculations.

STAT CRACKER POWER METERS

Week 8 Outlook

Weekly Strength
WATCH
Matchup
WATCH
Opportunity ?
WEAK
Current Form ?
NEUTRAL
Scoring Environment
WATCH
Health / Availability
NONE REPORTED

Stat Cracker Analysis

Michael Penix Jr. ranks #21 of 28 quarterbacks for Week 8. The matchup is a concern, but the role and broader scoring environment are strong enough to keep the projection near the top.


LIVE GAME EXPERIENCE

Watch Michael Penix Jr. Play In Person

Is Michael Penix Jr. your favorite quarterback, or the favorite of someone you know? Watching on TV is one thing. Seeing Michael Penix Jr. take the field in person is a different experience.

Stat Cracker may earn a commission if you make a purchase through this link.

Week 8 Game Details

Atlanta Falcons
AT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sunday, Nov 1, 2026 1:00 PM ET Raymond James Stadium Tampa, FL

WHY HE IS RANKED HERE

What Stat Cracker Likes

  • The overall combination of role, recent performance and upcoming conditions keeps him competitive within the position.

What Could Go Wrong

  • The opponent presents one of the tougher relative matchups in this week’s player pool.
  • The expected scoring environment is more limited than many alternatives at the position.

Stat Cracker publishes the football factors behind the outlook, but proprietary factor weights and model calculations remain private.

CURRENT SEASON

2026 Performance

5Games
84.7Fantasy Pts
1157Pass Yds
9Pass TD
4Rush Yds
0Rush TD
CURRENT ROLE

Roster & Availability

Team: Atlanta Falcons
Position: QB
Depth: #1
Roster Status: Active
Injury: None Reported

PLAYER FANTASY OUTLOOK

Next 3 Weeks

Rolling three-week matchup view anchored to the real current NFL week. Early future projections update as Stat Cracker refreshes its weekly model.

Week 8

AWAY @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

PROJECTED 17.2 pts

Why Stat Cracker is cautious about this matchup

The matchup grades tough because the opposing pass rush, while rushing upside helps preserve the floor. The opposing pass rush is a pressure factor and can reduce clean-pocket opportunities. Rushing production adds another path to fantasy points beyond passing volume.

Key Drivers: Opponent Pass Rush • QB Rushing

Current Week QB #21 Matchup 4/10
Week 9

HOME vs Cincinnati Bengals

PROJECTED 16.2 pts

Why Stat Cracker sees balance in this matchup

The matchup is neutral because rushing upside are largely offset by the opposing pass rush. The opposing pass rush is a pressure factor and can reduce clean-pocket opportunities. Rushing production adds another path to fantasy points beyond passing volume.

Key Drivers: Opponent Pass Rush • QB Rushing

Early Outlook QB #21 Matchup 6/10
Week 10

HOME vs Kansas City Chiefs

PROJECTED 19.0 pts

Why Stat Cracker is cautious about this matchup

The matchup grades tough because the opponent creates a meaningful efficiency challenge, while a manageable pass rush, rushing upside and scoring upside helps preserve the floor. Rushing production adds another path to fantasy points beyond passing volume.

Key Drivers: Opponent Pass Rush • QB Rushing • Scoring Environment

Longer-Range QB #16 Matchup 4/10

Future projections may change as injuries, depth charts, weather, workload and team conditions are refreshed. Stat Cracker does not rewrite locked historical predictions.

PAST PERFORMANCE

Previous Games vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2025 Week 1298 pass yds • 1 pass TD • 0 INT • 21 rush yds • 1 rush TD

Past opponent performance is supporting context only. Personnel, coaching and team strength can change between meetings.

STAT CRACKER HISTORY

Weekly Prediction History

WeekPredictionActualDifferentialMatchup
2026 Week 8 QB #2117.2 pts projected Pending — AWAY @ TB
2026 Week 7 QB #2017.4 pts projected 20.4 ptsActual QB #8 +3.0 pts HOME vs SF
2026 Week 6 QB #1421.2 pts projected 23.1 ptsActual QB #4 +1.9 pts HOME vs CHI
2026 Week 5 QB #1819.2 pts projected 14.4 ptsActual QB #16 -4.8 pts HOME vs BAL
2026 Week 4 QB #2514.5 pts projected 12.7 ptsActual QB #22 -1.8 pts AWAY @ NO
2026 Week 3 QB #1521.6 pts projected 14.0 ptsActual QB #19 -7.6 pts AWAY @ GB
2026 Week 2 QB #2217.9 pts projected 0.0 ptsActual QB #30 -17.9 pts HOME vs CAR
2026 Week 1 QB #2316.8 pts projected Pending — AWAY @ PIT

Differential is actual fantasy points minus the Stat Cracker projected point total. Green means the player outscored the projection; red means the player finished below it.

PLAYER PROFILE

About Michael Penix Jr.

Age26
Weight220 lbs
Height6' 3"
CollegeWashington; Indiana
Pro Experience2 years